Impact of 2006 Elections on Homeland Security

Yesterday was not a good day to be aAmnesty has been tried and has failed repeatedly
Republican ! But how did those of us concernedin the past, and I don't expect it will succeed this
with homeland security fare ?There are threetime.4) Appointment confirmations- These will get
things to look at here. One the Democrats tooktougher. Even if the Republicans manage to hold
the U.S. House, BIG ! The Senate as I write this ison to a slim senate majority, I expect the two
hanging in the balance waiting on the results ofindependents to side with the democrats most of
two very tight races, best case the Republicanthe time. The administration will need to be much
Majority will loose strength. More Democraticmore open minded in their choices.5) Iraq The
governors, a lot more. This is important becauseDemocrats will push hard for a firm timetable for
governors control national guard and statewithdrawl from Iraq. This would be a major
defense forces units. Governors also have a lot tomistake for too many reasons to go into here.
say about how "pass through" grants areMy fear is they will get it.On balance I think
distributed. In most states they are also veryyesterday was a very bad day for those
involved at setting budget and law enforcementconcerned with homeland security. One of the
priorities.I' still digesting yesterday's results butmajor themes that brought the Democrats this
here are my opening thoughts.1) Rumsfeld is gone.victory was their promise of a change in policy
I had said before the election that this wouldtoward Iraq. I expect that they will force a
probably happen anyway. The newly emboldenedpremature withdrawl from Iraq, which will likely
Democratic leadership will insist on it. Look for thelead to a collapse of that country's infant
administration to find a graceful exit for thegovernment. I don't even want to think about
secretary of defense.2) Shifts in Funding.Tax andhow many years, and lives will be lost in that
spending bills according to the U. S. Constitutionmess. I keep saying that sometimes it would be
must begin in the house. Democrats as a rule looknice to be wrong. This is one of those times.
to shift money away from national security,lawCome on Democrats ! Make me eat my
enforcement, and homeland security to socialwords,please !Robert A. Crutchfield is editor of
programs. Expect to fight for every penny ofHomeland Security HQ ( He is a graduate of the
every allocation. We'll be very lucky to see anyProfessional Development Series at the National
funding increases anywhere. One place this willEmergency Management Institute. He has also
hurt us badly is the Coast Guard. The Coastcompleted the Critical Infastructure: Vulnerability
Guard's Deepwater Initiative has never beenAnalysis Course at the Naval Postgraduate School
funded as it should be. In fact Deepwater fundsCeneter for Homeland Defense and Security. He
have been raided just to keep the existing fleethas served on the advisory board of Defense of
of ships and aircraft going. This is the problem.Houston since 2001.Crutchfield also served as
The Coast Guard's cutter and aircraft fleets areChairman of the Republican Party for the Sixth
old and falling apart. Spare parts are getting nextState Senate District of Texas. He has been a
to impossible to find. Deepwater is just one glaringmember of numerous convention committees at
example of what's at stake here.3)Immigrationthe senate district and state level. He is a life
Policy- I expect that immigration policy over themember of the Republican National Committee,
next two or three years will trend towardand the Navy League of the United States.
"amnesty", and away from enforcement.